What is the probability of reaching 2x in a crash game?

In a crash game with 1% house edge (99% RTP), the probability of the game reaching 2.00x or higher is 49.5%. In a 3% house edge game (97% RTP), it is 48.5%. The general formula is P(crash >= M) = (1 - house_edge) / M, where M is the target multiplier. At 2x, you lose slightly more than half the time. At 10x, you only win about 9.9% of the time. The expected value is negative by the house edge percentage regardless of which multiplier you target.